Will Linux ever compete with M$ (OT)
I was at a training course a few days ago. Whilst the rest of the group I was with had wondered off to stretch their leg in the break, I ended up on a discussion with the consultant/training officer about Linux, Unix, programming etc... He passed a comment that Linux would never make it make it into homes or even onto workstations. The average user will always want microsoft product and far too much investment has been made with microsoft as a whole to warrant changing. His argument was, he was a software developer mainly for industry and virtually 100% of his work is for microsoft based software, even though his company offers development on any platform. Needless to say we ended up arguing!! As this list is home to many industry proffesionals, I would love to hear your comments on this. Was he correct?? Will Linux ever be a real threat to Microsoft, not just in industry, but in the household also? ----------------------------------------- Email provided by http://www.ntlhome.com/
For what it's worth I believe that Microsoft will get hurt sooner or later by
Linux. I have personally been using only Linux (NOT DUAL BOOT) for the last 3
years and I can tell you that I have seen Linux coming a long way to where it
is now. Unfortunately Linuxs survival does depend on Software developers
developing for Linux platforms but then again its the same story for
Microsoft. I think as more and more software developers are realising that
Linux is coming up strong and starting to develop software for Linux the
stronger Linux gets the weaker Microsoft gets. I must a admit I am doing my bit
for the Linux community cause I already converted my Father-in-law (NOT
technical at all) to Linux for his home system, email, internet, Documents, etc
and I have resentely converted my sister to Linux too (Suse 8.2) and she loves
it. :-).
Anyway to resume all this my guess is that in the next 5 years Microsoft will
BE loosing great market share to the Linux community.
P.S. I am already waiting for Suse 9 to come out in UK. :-)
Quoting Gedi
I was at a training course a few days ago. Whilst the rest of the group I was with had wondered off to stretch their leg in the break, I ended up on a discussion with the consultant/training officer about Linux, Unix, programming etc...
He passed a comment that Linux would never make it make it into homes or even onto workstations. The average user will always want microsoft product and far too much investment has been made with microsoft as a whole to warrant changing. His argument was, he was a software developer mainly for industry and virtually 100% of his work is for microsoft based software, even though his company offers development on any platform.
Needless to say we ended up arguing!!
As this list is home to many industry proffesionals, I would love to hear your comments on this.
Was he correct??
Will Linux ever be a real threat to Microsoft, not just in industry, but in the household also?
----------------------------------------- Email provided by http://www.ntlhome.com/
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I have heard enough soothsayers procognosticating that the present is the future. I've seen companies in this industry arguing that if a customer grows to a particular size in computing terms, then they are locked in for life. Some of those companies cease to exist, but their customers carry on happily. People's first reaction to the introduction of new stuff, especially from a company they've never heard from is that they wouldn't touch the stuff with a barge pole. Next purchasing cycle, the new boy is already known, meriting some small trial, if it's good, there is a whole new ball game in the park. "Was he correct ??", you ask - may be, if by always he means the next two years. The guy who headed up IBM's Linux effort said when he first heard in an internal seminar, the question as to IBM's Linux Strategy, said "That free thing ?, Not in a MILLION years"...... GEEEEEEEE!, how time flies - still, now I reckon I'm a million years plus some, next step maybe everlasting life. The difference with Linux is that the coders keep right on coding and improving whatever the pundits say. A point I made many years ago to the naysayers - this Linux stuff will keep on coming, getting better all the time and when the time is right, we'll wake up one day to find out it's everywhere and in everything, whether we(linux) like it or they(Microsoft) hate it, if no one else understands where it's heading, Microsoft certainly DOES - BIGTIME! Regards Sid. Gedi wrote:
I was at a training course a few days ago. Whilst the rest of the group I was with had wondered off to stretch their leg in the break, I ended up on a discussion with the consultant/training officer about Linux, Unix, programming etc...
He passed a comment that Linux would never make it make it into homes or even onto workstations. The average user will always want microsoft product and far too much investment has been made with microsoft as a whole to warrant changing. His argument was, he was a software developer mainly for industry and virtually 100% of his work is for microsoft based software, even though his company offers development on any platform.
Needless to say we ended up arguing!!
As this list is home to many industry proffesionals, I would love to hear your comments on this.
Was he correct??
Will Linux ever be a real threat to Microsoft, not just in industry, but in the household also?
----------------------------------------- Email provided by http://www.ntlhome.com/
-- Sid Boyce .... Linux Only Shop.
Gedi wrote:
I was at a training course a few days ago. Whilst the rest of the group I was with had wondered off to stretch their leg in the break, I ended up on a discussion with the consultant/training officer about Linux, Unix, programming etc...
He passed a comment that Linux would never make it make it into homes or even onto workstations. The average user will always want microsoft product and far too much investment has been made with microsoft as a whole to warrant changing. His argument was, he was a software developer mainly for industry and virtually 100% of his work is for microsoft based software, even though his company offers development on any platform.
Needless to say we ended up arguing!!
As this list is home to many industry proffesionals, I would love to hear your comments on this.
Was he correct??
Will Linux ever be a real threat to Microsoft, not just in industry, but in the household also?
One of the problems with this kind of question is revealed by the word 'compete'. I contribute code to various Linux projects, not in order to compete but because the program doesn't do something that I want it to do, so I fix it. Competition doesn't come into it, and I'm perfectly happy for my father and mother to use Windows. There is no way they could survive with Linux. There are of course companies, such as IBM, or Redhat, who are trying to compete with MS on a business level, but here the competition is not about the desktop so much as the industrial side of things. The money to be made in open source is not in supplying product, but providing services for the product. And households with desktops do not provide a steady stream of income for services. Industry does. The 'competition' between the industry giants over free or open source software and proprietry software is more a struggle of two business models, one of proprietry software being sold as a manufactured product,and the other as a set of services being sold for a product produced for (and by) the common good. The fact that digital products can be cloned essentially perfectly, and for free, means that the old "software (or music...) as product" is at a basic disadvantage. Left to its natural course, the free software model will win. But there is so much invested in the old business model, that its quite possible the new will be 'legislated' out of existence. A tantalizing thought is that the beacon of free software will be picked up by China, where the idea of the common good, or the commons, is more established in the age old confucian model. The US will tie itself up in laws and regulations that will stifle software development. Time will tell. cheers -- GPG fingerprint = 3D45 5509 D380 26A4 523E A9D8 A66A 5F38 CA43 BB0E
jalal wrote: [snip]
Left to its natural course, the free software model will win. But there is so much invested in the old business model, that its quite possible the new will be 'legislated' out of existence.
A tantalizing thought is that the beacon of free software will be picked up by China, where the idea of the common good, or the commons, is more established in the age old confucian model. The US will tie itself up in laws and regulations that will stifle software development. Time will tell.
Yes, that's a shrewd view. Maybe M$ will be pushed back slowly into a bastion market where the "command and control" business model still pays, while the rest of the world (that's everyone outside about half a dozen nations) chooses a more open model, without lock-in. More worrying is the old business model's obsession with the legislative angle. Effectiely, they're presenting each new generation of kids with a tightly locked, very expensive box and then branding them criminals and pirates when, as is natural and healthy, the kids try to open it, break it or find new uses for it. Without that urge to experiment, built into our genes, we're not passing on much more than stagnation to the next generation. Not surprising that they kick hard against the pricks. Very important for the future of humanrace.inc that they do. :) Fish
OT messages go to the OT mailing list only. That list was created specifically to stop OT threads on this mailing list, which is already high-volume without the OT rambling. You all read the FAQ before posting, right? Q9. I'm wondering if Linux is "better" than Windows. Should I post ask on the list? A9. Please don't. It's an extremely tired, overdiscussed topic and rarely results in anything approaching a useful conclusion. Questions like "I need to do BLAH and in Windows I could do it with the BLAH program. How do I do that in Linux?" are entirely appropriate, of course. We have now have a list specifically devoted to off-topic postings like this: email suse-ot-subscribe@suse.com to subscribe
Thank you Joe. -- -ckm
"Hylton Conacher (ZR1HPC)"
Christopher Mahmood wrote:
Thank you Joe.
And the OT mailing list subscription address is or can be found where?
Didn't you read Joes mail? We have now have a list specifically devoted to off-topic postings like this: email suse-ot-subscribe@suse.com to subscribe Philipp
Philipp Thomas wrote:
"Hylton Conacher (ZR1HPC)"
[04 Oct 2003 13:17]: Christopher Mahmood wrote:
Thank you Joe.
And the OT mailing list subscription address is or can be found where?
Didn't you read Joes mail?
We have now have a list specifically devoted to off-topic postings like this: email suse-ot-subscribe@suse.com to subscribe
Philipp
Sorry must have missed it :( -- ======================================================================== Hylton Conacher - Licenced Windows user Registered Linux user # 229959 Using Linux Mandrake 9.0 with KDE 3 on a 2.4.19-16mdk kernel ========================================================================
-----Original Message-----
From: "Hylton Conacher (ZR1HPC)"
Christopher Mahmood wrote:
Thank you Joe.
And the OT mailing list subscription address is or can be found where?
All of SuSE's mailing lists can be found here: http://www.suse.com/us/private/support/online_help/mailinglists/index.html Ken
"Ken Schneider"
All of SuSE's mailing lists can be found here:
http://www.suse.com/us/private/support/online_help/mailinglists/index.html
Not quite :) suse-ot is not on that list. Philipp -- Philipp Thomas work: pthomas AT suse DOT de SUSE LINUX AG private: philipp DOT thomas AT t-link DOT de
On Sun, 05 Oct 2003 01:22:32 +0200
Philipp Thomas
"Ken Schneider"
[Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:20:46 -0400]: All of SuSE's mailing lists can be found here:
http://www.suse.com/us/private/support/online_help/mailinglists/index.html
Not quite :) suse-ot is not on that list.
That's so that those of us in the list don't get OT Off Topic posts! Terence
As many of the questions I ask on this list will tell, I am fairly new to Linux..but I am learning. I would say this is the case for a lot of people. I am currently consulting for a medical facility that has employed me to evaluate their Information Technology needs. One of the issues that has come from that evaluation is the fact that the 'server' they are currently using is way outdated in both its hardware and operating system. Therefore, one of the first things we will do is get a new server. A true server. Now, here is the issue that I think Linux faces. This facility has been using the same software for the past 8+ years. They are used to it and they do not want to switch. I called the company that makes the software and asked if they were doing anything in the way of porting the software to run on Linux. The answer was "somewhat". Somewhat translates into "we have one facility that has actually found a way to port the software to Linux by themselves, but we do not support them." The key word here "unsupported". If the software company had said that they would/could support their software on Linux, we would already have the server and would probably be a Microsoft free medical facility by now. The reason... not because I don't like Microsoft (even though I really don't). The reason we would be M$ free is because we wouldn't need M$. I have 25 current and potential users in this facility. NONE of the current users that have machines do anything that cannot be done in Linux. Email (Evolution, Kmail, etc), occasional document (Ooo, ABIword, etc.), and browsing (Mozilla, Opera). The only reason we have to go with M$ is because the software company we currently use doesn't support. Mind you, the other facility already sees that the software will work with Linux, but the company we would be reliant on for support will not support it. This means, for the Server, we are looking at spending an extra $1500 for software and licensing than we would if we were to go with SuSE or Red Hat. And for each workstation we are spending an additional $500+ for software (Win XP and Office 2003). Naturally, since we are looking at 10+ new machines throughout the facility, my Administrator was pleased to hear about the possibility of Linux, and more than disappointed when I told him that we could not use it. Now, we do have alternatives. We can replace the software we are currently using. I looked into that and the closest comparable software package (direct competitor of the company we are using now) is between $15k and $20k for purchase and installation (and they probably don't support a Linux installation either). Long story short.. as long as consultants such as the one you spoke with are working for companies like the one that makes the software we use, then yes, Linux will have issues making it to the workstation and into the office space. In this case, the software company has no idea how the other facility ported Linux. Truth be told, I'm sure they don't want to know. These techs want that MCSE they put on their business cards after their names to mean something :-) But as long as people like you and I the others on this list continue to shed light on what is really going on; as long as we continue to show that there are alternatives, change will come. It may not be fast, but it is inevitable. -=Thinker On Thu, 2003-10-02 at 07:53, Gedi wrote:
I was at a training course a few days ago. Whilst the rest of the group I was with had wondered off to stretch their leg in the break, I ended up on a discussion with the consultant/training officer about Linux, Unix, programming etc...
He passed a comment that Linux would never make it make it into homes or even onto workstations. The average user will always want microsoft product and far too much investment has been made with microsoft as a whole to warrant changing. His argument was, he was a software developer mainly for industry and virtually 100% of his work is for microsoft based software, even though his company offers development on any platform.
Needless to say we ended up arguing!!
As this list is home to many industry proffesionals, I would love to hear your comments on this.
Was he correct??
Will Linux ever be a real threat to Microsoft, not just in industry, but in the household also?
----------------------------------------- Email provided by http://www.ntlhome.com/
On Thu, 2003-10-02 at 20:53, Gedi wrote:
I was at a training course a few days ago. Whilst the rest of the group I was with had wondered off to stretch their leg in the break, I ended up on a discussion with the consultant/training officer about Linux, Unix, programming etc...
He passed a comment that Linux would never make it make it into homes or even onto workstations. The average user will always want microsoft product and far too much investment has been made with microsoft as a whole to warrant changing. His argument was, he was a software developer mainly for industry and virtually 100% of his work is for microsoft based software, even though his company offers development on any platform.
Needless to say we ended up arguing!!
As this list is home to many industry proffesionals, I would love to hear your comments on this.
Was he correct??
Will Linux ever be a real threat to Microsoft, not just in industry, but in the household also?
----------------------------------------- Email provided by http://www.ntlhome.com/
I live in Japan right now (from US) and the local universities are switching from MS to Mac for public desktops (while not Linux it shows that your instructors opinion is flawed) Linux is being used on more desktops. People are switching for various reasons (security, MS cost too much when you add office and the extras, Linux comes with PDF programs and other programs that cost thousands to run on Linux......) Yes Microsoft is in the lead right now but as more countries break away from being locked in desktops will migrate as well (see Munich if you doubt my words) I get this argument a lot and it usually comes from people who have made their career supporting MS products. They are for the most part reaching their 40s and do not want to learn a new OS. (i.e. most of them are career people not true techies-a techie never quits) It is a slow road but we will win :) Dave Blomberg
I was at a training course a few days ago. Whilst the rest of the group I was with had wondered off to stretch their leg in the break, I ended up on a discussion with the consultant/training officer about Linux, Unix, programming etc...
He passed a comment that Linux would never make it make it into homes or even onto workstations. The average user will always want microsoft product and far too much investment has been made with microsoft as a whole to warrant changing. His argument was, he was a software developer mainly for industry and virtually 100% of his work is for microsoft based software, even though his company offers development on any platform.
Needless to say we ended up arguing!!
As this list is home to many industry proffesionals, I would love to hear your comments on this.
Was he correct??
No he was not correct, he's an idiot. I'm not trying to be some kind of zealot here, but the guy is out of touch with reality of the situation. Anyone who is AFRAID to change will declare to his dying breath that there is no change coming. He's got a cushy job there will his Microsoft training crap and he'll be out of a job if Microsoft goes out of demand. Look at all the stuff that's never supposed to have happened: Apple was the first really useful GUI environment that was readily available. It died. No one will ever need more than 64K or RAM... right. IBM thought that they were impenetrable, until Microsoft changed that thinking. Used to be you couldn't get fired for going with IBM. Now they say you can't get fired for going with Microsoft. Someday that will likely change as well. Study Industrial history. Microsoft has only two choices in the long run, fully embrace OpenSource (which mutually excludes the extend/extinguish process) or go out of business and become a has-been. I for one, would not have had this arguement with anyone. If they cling so strongly to their Microsoft Mentality simply give them you email address and ask them to send you their opinion on the matter in 5 years.
For several years I've repsonded likewise to such people, some have had their opinions changed within months, that's after I've told them I would resend their articles a year later, reminding them of their past position. For some, they dusted off the old "Linux is Comministic" jibe, to which I responded by reminding them that in the old Soviet Union, you could choose any car you liked, providing it was a Lada and asking them if they could readily think of the Computing equivalent - I didn't need to elaborate further and could not wring a single reply from any of them. Linux is doing well, just last month, a colleague asked to borrow my CD's, I'd never seen any interest shown in Linux before, just handed over the CD's and that was it. Two weeks ago he called me to say he wanted to return them, said thanks and said his wife loves it, no more Blue Screens Of death or things going wrong , she could now get on with her email, web surfing, MS document handling and digital camera work, not bad for a technically clueless lady and a colleague who had some distant time ago only done an Intro to Unix class. To date I've not had a single question from them. I've not failed to be impressed by Linux since it first appeared on the ftp servers and I don't have a copy of Windows on anything, including the company supplied laptop - and that's in a company where there is almost 100% Windows useage. I also like to show off the flexibility of Linux when I display GUI access to multiple partitions on a Solaris server, something you can't do with Windows or Solaris -- plus other neat stuff. Regards Sid. tallison@tacocat.net wrote:
No he was not correct, he's an idiot.
I'm not trying to be some kind of zealot here, but the guy is out of touch with reality of the situation.
Anyone who is AFRAID to change will declare to his dying breath that there is no change coming. He's got a cushy job there will his Microsoft training crap and he'll be out of a job if Microsoft goes out of demand.
Look at all the stuff that's never supposed to have happened:
Apple was the first really useful GUI environment that was readily available. It died. No one will ever need more than 64K or RAM... right.
IBM thought that they were impenetrable, until Microsoft changed that thinking. Used to be you couldn't get fired for going with IBM. Now they say you can't get fired for going with Microsoft. Someday that will likely change as well.
Study Industrial history. Microsoft has only two choices in the long run, fully embrace OpenSource (which mutually excludes the extend/extinguish process) or go out of business and become a has-been.
I for one, would not have had this arguement with anyone. If they cling so strongly to their Microsoft Mentality simply give them you email address and ask them to send you their opinion on the matter in 5 years.
-- Sid Boyce .... Linux Only Shop.
participants (14)
-
Christopher Mahmood
-
David Blomber
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Gedi
-
Hylton Conacher (ZR1HPC)
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jalal
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Joe Sullivan
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Ken Schneider
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Mark Crean
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Philipp Thomas
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Ricardo Wagemaker
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Sid Boyce
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tallison@tacocat.net
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Terence McCarthy
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Thinker