Am Sonntag, 10. November 2024, 22:45:59 Mitteleuropäische Normalzeit schrieb Carlos E. R.:
On 2024-11-10 19:11, Lew Wolfgang wrote:
Hi Folks,
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They have developed a method to measure IPv6 compatibility from the user's perspective. Their measurements show that after more than 25 years of IPv6 only 41% of users are IPv6 enabled, on a global basis. They show a trend line where if the adoption rate is linear 100% will be reached about the year 2045.
Yet they show that the adoption rate for the US hit about 51% in 2019 but has remain flat since then! (this is being written in Nov 2024)
The USA can survive with IpV4 because a very large spool was assigned to it. But other countries have less addresses per inhabitant that you have; some countries have not enough at all, and are IPv6 by default.
Unfortunately, it's never been those countries that "matter" (to those countries in charge). Long time ago we did a title track in Linux-Magazin on IPv6, and I'm, somewhat sad, but mostly indifferent about having been right with our predictions, like "ipv4 will remain significant until late 20ies or mid-thirties". When introducing IPV6, the advantages were not communictated convincingly and many other mistakes were made. It fixed a problem noone had (then). Today it's different, but still the workarounds (e.g. VPN) work for most. And an IP is getting less and less important to the end user, it's more about platforms and content. I would not be surprised if the while ipv6 thingy passes by unnoticed to a whatever it will be successor. I wouldn't suggest spending much time on it, unless you have to work-wise, the investment might not pay off... 15y ago we wrote that ipv6 is "mostly a consulting, training and documentation topic" and I still think it does not bother user layers. At least it should not. Jm2c
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This all implies that IPv4 will always be with us. IPv6 will increase globally to some point, but will level off as it has in the US. This of course is anathema to IP purists who claim that the Internet was designed on the principle that every device has a globally unique address. But in reality, is this really necessary?
It allows features that were initially designed but made impossible by NAT to work again.
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