Am 09.10.22 um 02:42 schrieb Stefan Brüns:
On Sonntag, 9. Oktober 2022 01:32:20 CEST Felix Miata wrote:
Stefan Brüns composed on 2022-10-09 00:42 (UTC+0200):
99% of users have bought sufficient hardware during the last 10 years.
Where did that number come from?
From common sense.
Ah, yes. Finally some hard data.
anything new which is not x86_64-v2.
x86_64 has been available since late 2003, and x86_64-v2 was introduced early 2011 (Intel Sandybridge)/late 2011 (AMD Bulldozer).
So the first 7 years of x86_64 are baseline, everything after (11 years) is x86_64-v2. So even assuming not a single unit has been decommisioned, and shipments per year are the same (actually, it went up from 180M units in 2004, 310M in 2013 to 345M in 2021) 60% of all x86_64 PCs ever built are v2 or better. Taking growing markets and decommissioning into account, 99% is a quite plausible number.
(BTW: You question my 99%, but leave Larrys 99% claim without questioning it. Go figure ...)
Not all users buy. Many can only acquire whatever is available for no money.
Enterprises buy. Private persons buy. And this hardware ends up with persons who can not afford to buy sooner or later.
Regards,
Stefan
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